Latambusiness.org ·Latin America Commercial Diplomacy Scorecard·Q4 2026

Brazil

South America
Q4 2026 Verdict ◑ Consider
Updated October 14, 2026 · Perez confirmed but not in post; chargé leads the embassy · 25% Section 301 tariff on Brazilian goods in force · Galeão/Santos auctions still pending
US Chargé d'Affaires
⚠Kimberly Kelly
Chargé d'Affaires a.i. · Ambassador Daniel Perez confirmed by the Senate Aug 7, 2026, not yet in post
Live Intelligence · Q4 2026
Sectors — Active Opportunity
Infrastructure & Ports Aviation 5G & Telecom Oil & Gas Agribusiness Mining & Critical Minerals Energy Transmission Aerospace & Defense
Primary Risk
A 25% Section 301 tariff on Brazilian goods took effect July 15 2026 after Lula's government rejected Trump's negotiating offer — the relationship has moved from pragmatic-but-cool to openly adversarial on trade, and the U.S. Chamber is now warning publicly against an escalating tariff spiral. The Senate confirmed Daniel Perez as ambassador on August 7, 2026, but he has not taken up the post: as of October 14 the embassy is led by a chargé d'affaires a.i., so the ministerial-level channel is still not open — on top of the active tariff fight. Chinese capital continues to move aggressively in infrastructure and minerals — every Brazilian strategic asset auction is a competitive event, not a bilateral opportunity, and the tariff fight only sharpens Brasília's incentive to lean toward Beijing.
Franco Calderón · Latambusiness.org

Is the Window Open
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A confirmed ambassador reopens the diplomatic channel, but the tariff fight is still live. Bring your sector.

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